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Private Credit Monitor

A chronology of the private credit liquidity crisis — tracking redemption gates, fund markdowns, and systemic risk signals in real time.

Events Tracked
51
Firms Impacted
9
Market Cap Erased
$265B+
Market Size
$2.1T
Firm
Liquidity Crisis

April 2026

3 events
Apr 2
BLUE OWLCNBC

Blue Owl caps OCIC, OTIC redemptions at 5% after 21.9%, 40.7% requests; AI/tech sector stress cited

Apr 1
REGULATIONBloomberg

Congress grills Blackstone, Apollo, BlackRock, Blue Owl, Carlyle, KKR on private credit fund operations

Apr 1
BLACKROCKBenzinga

BlackRock caps HPS Corporate Lending Fund redemptions at 9.3% after surge in withdrawal requests

March 2026

32 events
Mar 31
REGULATIONBloomberg

European insurance regulators review private credit valuations amid asset class concerns

Mar 30
ANALYSISFederal Reserve

Fed Chair Powell warns private credit stress could spill into broader financial system in Harvard speech

Mar 29
REGULATIONReuters

Treasury to convene insurance regulators on private credit; Bessent signals contagion concerns

Mar 29
ANALYSISWall Street Journal

WSJ: Apollo, Ares, Blackstone, Blue Owl understate software exposure—actual 25% vs reported 19%

Mar 28
ANALYSISWSJ

WSJ's Greg Ip: 'Is Another Financial Crisis Lurking in Private Credit?' — fast-growing, opaque, intertwined with banks but lacks 2007 scale

Mar 27
OAKTREEBloomberg

Oaktree meets 8.5% redemptions in full on $7.7B Strategic Credit Fund (~$400M); Brookfield injects $80M to backstop payout

Mar 27
JPMORGANBloomberg

JPMorgan launches private credit interval fund with 7.5% quarterly redemptions; seeks SEC exemption for 2% monthly buybacks

Mar 26
ANALYSISMorningstar DBRS

Distressed exchanges account for 94% of private credit downgrades to D/SD in 12 months ending Feb 2026; defaults up 78% YoY

Mar 26
FSOCU.S. Treasury

FSOC votes to publish guidance on nonbank financial company designations; shifts to activities-based oversight targeting 'Bermuda Triangle' structures

Mar 25
ANALYSISBloomberg / CNBC

Morgan Stanley warns direct-lending defaults could surge to 8% (vs 2–2.5% historical avg); software sector 26% of BDC exposure

Mar 24
ARESBloomberg

Ares caps $10.7B Strategic Income Fund at 5% after 11.6% redemption requests — every major private credit manager now gated

Mar 24
ANALYSISBloomberg

Apollo, Ares shares fall 4%+; Blackstone, KKR, TPG, Blue Owl all trade lower as sector-wide selloff deepens

Mar 23
MOODY'S / KKRBloomberg / CNBC

Moody's downgrades FS KKR Capital Corp to junk (Ba1 from Baa3) — non-accruals at 5.5%, Q4 net loss $114M, software 16.4% of book

Mar 23
APOLLOBloomberg / CNBC / Reuters

Apollo caps $25B Debt Solutions fund at 5% after 11.2% redemption requests; pays 45%; software is 12.3% of book; shares -2.6%

Mar 22
BLANKFEINSeoul Economic Daily

Ex-Goldman CEO Blankfein at Citadel event: 'It smells a bit like the global financial crisis... the horses have started to buck'

Mar 22
STONERIDGEBusiness Insider

Stoneridge Asset Mgmt returns only 11% of LENDX redemption requests citing 'overwhelming' demand

Mar 21
APOLLOBloomberg

Apollo preparing to publish daily valuations of private credit holdings — implicit concession on opacity crisis

Mar 20
BLACKSTONEReuters / Bloomberg

BCRED posts first monthly loss since Sep 2022 (-0.4% Feb); Reuters calls it 'clearest sign of weakening in $1.8T market'

Mar 20
HEDGEYEHedgeye

Hedgeye's Steiner: Regional banks carry $100-150B exposure to private credit; loan growth 'increasingly in doubt'

Mar 19
ANALYSISNPR

NPR: 'It's called private credit — and it could lead to big trouble on Wall Street'

Mar 16
ANALYSISBofA Global Research

BofA's Hartnett: 'Current conditions resemble mid-2007 to mid-2008'

Mar 14
ANALYSISFortune

Fortune: 'The $265 billion private credit meltdown' — PE stocks erased $265B in market cap from peaks

Mar 12
EL-ERIANBenzinga

El-Erian echoes Dimon cockroach warning: 'Are these cockroaches or termites posing systemic risks?'

Mar 11
JPMORGANCNBC / FT

JPMorgan marks down software company loans used as collateral by private credit funds; tightens lending

Mar 11
MORGAN STANLEYReuters

Morgan Stanley caps withdrawals on $8B North Haven Private Income Fund; pays 45.8% of 11% redemption requests

Mar 11
CLIFFWATERBloomberg

Cliffwater's $33B flagship fund hit with 14% redemption requests; plans to honor ~half

Mar 8
ANALYSISBloomberg

Bloomberg: 'BlackRock, Blackstone Confront Withdrawals as Private Credit Redemptions Surge'

Mar 6
BLACKROCKBloomberg

BlackRock caps redemptions on $26B HPS Corporate Lending Fund at 5% after requests hit 9.3%; pays out ~half

Mar 6
SABA/COXEconomy.ac

Saba Capital & Cox Capital launch tender offer for OBDC II shares at 33% discount to NAV

Mar 6
BLACKROCKBloomberg

BlackRock writes down $25M Infinite Commerce loan from par to zero in single quarter

Mar 3
BLACKSTONEReuters

Blackstone shares fall 8% to two-year low; 25+ senior execs invest $150M personal capital to meet redemptions

Mar 2
BLACKSTONEReuters

BCRED sees record $3.8B in redemption requests (7.9% of fund); Blackstone lifts cap to 7%, injects $400M own capital

February 2026

4 events
Feb 20
BLUE OWLBenzinga

Blue Owl shareholders file lawsuit alleging undisclosed redemption pressure on BDC asset base

Feb 19
BLUE OWLYahoo Finance

Blue Owl permanently halts OBDC II redemptions; replaces quarterly tenders with return-of-capital distributions

Feb 19
BLUE OWL24/7 Wall St

Blue Owl sells $1.4B in loans across 3 funds at 99.7% par to fund investor liquidity; shares -9%

Feb 1
BLACKSTONEBloomberg

BCRED posts first monthly loss in 3+ years (-0.4% in February); flat YTD after 8% gain in 2025

Contagion Builds

December 2025

1 event
Dec 31
BLACKSTONEEconomy.ac

Blackstone marks down Medallia loan to 78 cents on the dollar (from 94 cents prior quarter)

November 2025

3 events
Nov 24
ANALYSISIESE Insight

IESE: 'A reality check for private credit markets' — Tricolor lenders at 20x true leverage vs. reported 5x

Nov 19
BLUE OWLABF Journal

Blue Owl terminates OBDC II merger after investors balk at 20% haircut; stock extends losses

Nov 18
BLUE OWLABF Journal

Blue Owl blocks OBDC II redemptions ahead of proposed merger; shares fall 6%

Early Warnings

October 2025

2 events
Oct 16
ANALYSISCNN

CNN: 'Why Jamie Dimon is warning of cockroaches in the US' — parallels drawn to 2007 Bear Stearns hedge funds

Oct 14
JPMORGANFortune

Dimon on Q3 call: 'When you see one cockroach, there are probably more' — JPM writes off $170M on Tricolor

September 2025

5 events
Sep 29
ANALYSISBloomberg Opinion

First Brands and Tricolor show why private-credit lenders should worry

Sep 24
FIRST BRANDSBloomberg

First Brands Group files Chapter 11 with $10B+ in hidden liabilities; DOJ opens criminal probe

Sep 11
FIRST BRANDSBloomberg

Apollo Global reported shorting First Brands debt as distress deepens

Sep 10
TRICOLORBloomberg

Tricolor Holdings files Chapter 7 liquidation amid fraud allegations; JPM, Barclays exposed ~$500M

Sep 9
TRICOLORBloomberg

Fifth Third Bancorp pulls credit lines from Tricolor Holdings; mass layoffs begin

August 2025

1 event
Aug 1
FIRST BRANDSFT

First Brands Group's $6B refinancing stalls as lenders demand earnings clarity

LegendRed = crisis / distressTeal = commentaryGray = otherSources: Bloomberg, Reuters, FT, Fortune, CNBC, NPR. Auto-updated every 4 hours.
Private Credit Monitor | Yardeni Research